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New Atlanticist
August 11, 2022
I wrote NATO’s lessons from Afghanistan. Now I wonder: What have we learned?
By John Manza
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John Manza
John Manza is a nonresident senior fellow with the Transatlantic Security Initiative at the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security. He has wide ranging experience in international security affairs. Early in his career, he served as a marine infantry officer, with multiple deployments in the Pacific Rim, the Middle East and Central America.
Later, as a civilian, he gained extensive experience in Iraq and Afghanistan, working on development and governance issues for the US Departments of State and Defense. Most recently, Manza served as the NATO assistant secretary general for operations, where he was responsible for the coordination and drafting of NATO’s lessons of Afghanistan report. Currently, Manza is a professor of practice at the Joint Advanced Warfighting School, where he teaches strategy.
Manza has a PhD in international relations from Wayne State University in Detroit.
Research
Operationally Agile but Strategically Lacking: NATO’s Bruising Years in Afghanistan
Authors: Sten Rynning , Paal Sigurd Hilde
Abstract
For more than twenty years, NATO engaged in security assistance in Afghanistan. The engagement represented a colossal politico-military investment in regime renewal. The return of the Taliban to power in 2021 defines a defeat for NATO, we argue.
Defeat followed in part from NATO’s strategy deficit: the alliance did not adequately focus on Afghanistan’s political fundamentals; it committed to a ‘comprehensive approach’ campaign blueprint that defied reality; and its decision-making process was too cumbersome and too loaded with political interests to correct course.
We also argue that part of the reason for failure resides outside of NATO and with the multiple other actors involved in the conflict. Faced with such complexity, NATO in fact proved operationally agile and resilient. We find that NATO is aware of this challenge of ‘operational agility but strategic deficit’ but that there is no quick fix to what is, essentially, a leadership issue. NATO will improve only if key allies do more to lead in NATO and not for NATO.
June 2022
Lawmakers from both parties are putting increasing pressure on the Pentagon to fix the recruitment crisis that threatens to leave the military well short of its goals to bring new troops aboard this year, in what is widely considered the worst recruiting environment since the end of the Vietnam War.
While leaders from the different military branches have all acknowledged the problem, they also have been unable to move the needle in a positive direction, as the desire of young Americans to join the military falls off the statistical cliff.
What If the War in Ukraine Spins Out of Control?
How to Prepare for Unintended Escalation
By Liana Fix and Michael Kimmage
July 19, 2022
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